CaliToday (05/12/2025): Meteorological agencies are sounding the alarm this morning as a strengthening tropical depression near the Philippines shows signs of intensifying into Typhoon No. 16 (Storm No. 16). Forecasters warn that this system is on a direct trajectory toward the East Sea (South China Sea) and poses a significant threat to the Central and South Central coasts of Vietnam.
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| The low pressure area being monitored by PAGASA. Photo: Zoom Earth, JMA/ NOAA/ CIRA, Himawari, JTWC. |
1. The Developing Situation
Currently situated off the coast of the Philippines, the tropical depression is gathering strength due to warm sea surface temperatures. Weather models project that the system will move in a West-Northwest direction, likely entering the East Sea within the next 24 to 48 hours. Upon entry, it is expected to officially upgrade to typhoon status.
2. A "Double Impact" Scenario
The timing of this potential typhoon is particularly dangerous due to the presence of a strong Cold Air Mass (Cold Front) currently dominating Northern Vietnam.
Complex Interaction: When the moisture-laden typhoon interacts with the dry, cold air from the North, it creates a volatile atmospheric setup.
Heavy Precipitation: This interaction is expected to trigger torrential downpours across the Central region, specifically targeting provinces from Quang Tri to Binh Thuan, as well as the Central Highlands.
3. Areas at High Risk
Authorities are urging residents in the South Central Coast (Nam Trung Bo) to prepare for severe weather.
Coastal Zones: High waves and storm surges are expected, posing dangers to fishing vessels and coastal infrastructure.
Mountainous Regions: With soil already saturated from previous rains (especially in Lam Dong and Khanh Hoa), the risk of flash floods and landslides is at a critical level.
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| The GFS (Global Forecast Model) forecast for December 9 is for a low pressure area to become a storm in the East Sea. Photo: Ventusky, GFS. |
4. Urgent Recommendations
For Fishermen: All vessels operating in the East Sea are advised to monitor radio frequencies constantly and seek safe harbor immediately.
For Residents: Local communities should reinforce housing and prepare evacuation plans, particularly in low-lying areas prone to flooding.
Summary: While the exact path may fluctuate, the consensus is clear: Central Vietnam must brace for a significant weather event in the coming days.